Showing posts with label profit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label profit. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 4, 2015

Teaching Illiteracy

Lord Redbrick: Oh! I don't like what you're incinerating.
Lady Bluebury: The proper word is "insinuating", illiterate.
Lord Redbrick: I am not illiterate! My parents were married!

My sons were asking me about credit cards, debit cards, cash and checks on the drive home from school today. At first I was pretty excited that they were getting some financial education from school as well as from home. Then I looked at the homework.  I've included their homework in this post, along with the answers I would give (just click on the homework pages below to see the actual questions and my answers).

The first question that caught my attention started with these statements:
Walter has a part time job at the local discount store. He has a checking account and a small savings account. He struggles to pay his bills because he does not make much money.
Wow. That last statement floored me. Poor Walter does not struggle to pay his bills because he does not make much money. Walter struggles to pay his bills because he spends too much money.


Don't get me wrong, I understand there are people that struggle. They struggle to find employment, as poor Walter only has a part time job. However, whatever your income, you need to cut expenses to fit within it, or you will start going backwards and fast.

After going over the boy's homework, it made more sense to me why Texas is 46th in poverty rate in the United States. This is not just the teacher's choice in homework. The pages bear the logos of Texas Council on Economic Education and Texas Credit Union Foundation. I love Texas, but the poverty rate is something that I wish would change and this homework is doing just the opposite.

The rest of the homework went into the advantages and disadvantages of various forms of payment: credit card, debit card, check and cash. It all felt like it was one of those coloring books you can get from the bank extolling the virtues of getting into debt.

And that was just the setup. The two questions that followed were equally amazing:
How should Walter pay for dinner at a restaurant? How should Walter pay for a new television set?
No wonder Walter has a hard time paying his bills. He should be at home opening a can of Campbell's and reading a good book, instead of spending money eating out and buying electronics. In fact, instead of spending all that money, I would recommend he invest $25 in the book Financial Fitness to read with his tomato soup.

I see so many people that have the latest iPhone, cable TV, big screen TVs, eat out fairly regularly and can't seem to make ends meet. This type of homework seems to assume this mentality, the keeping up with the Jones' at any cost.

The next page of homework was a little better. Here is the setup:
Max has a good job. He has a checking account and savings account. Max pays his credit card bill on time and he pays the entire balance each month.
Terrific! Max pays his full credit card bill each month. On the surface this looks like a person in a solid financial position (and I would have thought that 6 months ago). The problem here is the first sentence. What does a good job mean? Does it mean he is guaranteed not to be fired? That the company he works for won't be acquired or go under?

Here is the problem with Max's situation. He basically has an interest free 30 day loan for all the purchases. Every month. If something beyond Max's control happens, like his company being acquired and his division being let go, Max might have a period of time where he has to live on his savings. To add to the problem, he would need to take a month's worth of expenses from his savings to pay off his card, or face high interest rates that will start eating into his savings more than he thinks.

This was pretty much the situation my wife and I were in before we started going through Financial Fitness Pack. We always paid our credit cards off every month. What hit us was an unexpected monthly expense that we took on caring for a relative. We thought everything was in hand, but the credit cards masked what was happening. We had a slow leak that, over two years, caused us to push the envelope on being able to pay off the credit cards.

After hearing about the Dunn & Bradstreet study that found that people spend 12%-18% less when they use cash versus cards, we decided to finally use the cash-envelope system. This is when it struck me that I had a constant 30-day loan from the credit cards. We had drained our savings and couldn't pay off the credit cards and also pay cash for our expenses. 

The Financial Fitness Pack had an answer for that too. We've been following the system prescribed, but more importantly, we're receiving a first rate financial education (CPAs can get 22 credits of continuing education with the pack). Since using the cash-envelope system and the debt paydown, we have a plan to not just pay off those credit cards (and medical debt), but also pay off both mortgages (again with the relative, oi).

The rest of the homework was a page each on the Pros and Cons of the various payment methods; credit cards, debit cards, checks and cash.

The Credit Card page seemed pretty straightforward. One of the advantages/disadvantages plays right into the idea that debt is a good tool if you are broke.
If there is an emergency and no money is available, a credit card can be used to pay for the emergency.
Robert Kiyosaki says, "Only borrow money when you don’t need it." And there is a good reason for that. It is natural for people to assume that this is just a bump in the road and they will be back on their feet soon. However, borrowing money when you are in financial straights only worsens the problem and often the bump is a little longer than expected, especially with high interest rates of credit cards.

The Convenience category had me going back and forth as to if it is an advantage or disadvantage. This is possibly why people spend 12%-18% more when using credit cards. It is a little too convenient.

Checking seems to be a bit of a relic. There were elements of checks I had forgotten about (proof of payment). However, I haven't written a check in quite a while. I use online bill pay to replace a lot of the checks I used to write. There are a few downsides they do gloss over. 

It seems that the homework assumes that with checks you need to balance a checkbook. The problem is that mistakes are common, which leads to overdraft fees.

And the biggest gloss-over is that you need to trust the person you send the check to. Checks have your account number and the banks routing number on it. A decade ago that wouldn't be a big deal. But with all the innovations in banking these days, identity thieves often find holes in new services which allow them to drain bank accounts with just those numbers.

I'm not as familiar with Debit cards, so in filling out this sheet I had to do some homework. I knew you had the added security of needing the card and a PIN number. You don't have the same guaranteed fraud protection that you have for credit cards. I thought that the "limit" for the card was what you had in your account. It turns out there are some bad debit cards out there, that will allow you to overdraft a debit card.

That limit can also cause some problems, specifically when renting a car, hotel room, getting gas or purchases at a bar. In these cases, these merchants put a hold on your card for expenses that you might incur. For credit cards, which usually (or at least should) have a limit far beyond what you normally charge, it's not a big deal. However, for debit cards this can lock up your funds for days. So for the road trips, use cash or credit, or you could have your entire checking account tied up with holds.

And then we come to cash. For cash they didn't have any pre-filled advantages/disadvantages. I thought that was interesting. For advantages, I had that it is nearly universally accepted, and by human nature you will typically spend 12%-18% less than with cards. For disadvantages, once you lose cash, it is lost. So don't lose your cash. 

A bit of a stretch on the disadvantages, I put down that cash is a bit less convenient. I think cash is more convenient than checks (a bit of a pet peeve at the grocery store, but I digress).

My recommendation? Put together a program written by someone who has financial success. Don't let the banks write the curriculum (fox watching the hen house?) 

If it were up to me, I'd have them study the book Financial Fitness for Teens. When I bought it, I thought it was going to be a watered down version of the Financial Fitness book. Boy was I wrong. Financial Fitness is meant for adults that have made financial mistakes. It gently takes them through a systematic path of getting grownups back on track.

Financial Fitness for Teens, however, is a hard hitting, direct work that is meant to prevent youth from making those mistakes in the first place and setting them up to live their purpose, instead of working for the debt providers.

So this is where parenting comes in. Parents, make sure you are watching what your schools are teaching your children. But more important, invest in educating yourselves so you can then educate your children. The schools are not responsible for your children's education, you are.



Monday, June 11, 2012

Monday, March 5, 2012

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Why You Should Invest in the Stock Market

I've heard that everyone should be in the stock market because it gets, over the long haul, 12% returns. I've also heard that instead of trying to time the market and play games, you should get into an Index fund and just ride it out. Instead of just taking that advice at face value, I delved into it to see what is really going on.

I took the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average as the basis for my investigation. I downloaded the full history available from Yahoo!.
I took the closing value of the Dow on the first of January of each year. The average gain from one year to the next was 6.55%. Not the 12% I've heard, but better than the around 1% rate on savings. The average inflation during that period was 3.23%, leaving our actual gains to be around 3.27%. Still, better than stuffing your mattress or putting the money in a savings account.

However, most of us do not have the luxury of going back 85 years to put our money in the stock market. This is why the phrase "past performance is not a guarantee of future returns" was invented. If we take a closer look at the average gains in each decade we can get a clearer picture of what might be going on.

Imagine if you picked the 70's to get started investing in the stock market. By the 90's you'd be pretty impressed with yourself as an investing guru. So it really depends on when you get in and when you get out, timing the market.

Let's take another look at the Dow. Compare the chart below to the Dow chart I started out with.
Notice any similarities? The first chart was the entire history I got of the Dow from Yahoo!. This chart is the same data, just up to 1982. So what do the mid 60's and early 2000's have in common? War, specifically Vietnam and the War on Terror. If you look for the pre-Vietnam run up and the flatline afterwards on the first graph you'll notice that it doesn't even register. The ramp up in the early 80's and even more so the late 90's dwarf the "problems" in the 70's.

So is the trend that following a war flatline there are two decades of growth followed by incredible growth? I think it is more of a warning about government spending, especially war spending, and what it does to the economy.

There were three events I think led to the 80's (mild compared to the 90's) boom. The first is the baby boomers (those born between 1946 and 1964). They have changed the rules at every stage of life. In the mid 80's baby boomers started turning 40. They were past the arrogant years and starting to worry about retirement. That alone would not have had that much of an impact on the stock market if it had not been for the other two events, women entering the workforce and the invention of the 401(k).

From 1970 to 1990 the percent of women working jumped over 30%. In 1970 around 1/3 of the female potential workforce was employed. By 1990 over half of the female potential workforce was employed. This increased the household income (but was in large part needed to keep up with inflation, but that is another story entirely) and added to the 401(k) boom.

The 401(k) gave companies an incentive to help their employees invest in the stock market with pre-tax money. Given that baby boomers were starting to think about retirement and taxes and companies were given incentives to help them put their money in the stock market, this led to a large cash infusion in the stock market. This is what I think led to us leaving the post-Vietnam stock slump.

The 90's also had two events that helped accelerate the stock boom, the internet (and online trading) and more available housing. I am not referring to the dot-com bubble when  I am referring to the internet, but the availability of information about companies and the ease with which the internet afforded stock trading (eTrade went public in 1996). Like the roaring 20's when the people caught the stock bug when they saw the large returns, more individuals had access to the stock market and it became popular to trade stocks online. This provided another infusion of cash into the market.

The changes to the Community Reinvestment Act in 1995 made housing available to more people. This increased the demand for housing, thus raising the prices (more people could buy homes but the number of homes did not increase as fast). This combined with the ease of online trading increased the cash available to infuse the market.

So now we look into our crystal ball to see what the future has for us. Just like the period around the Vietnam war we have a boom in the stock market, followed by some bouncy but overall flat years. Where are we going to get the cash infusion to the market for the next ride? Here are a couple of things to think about.


  1. Baby boomers are going to start retiring (turning 65 in 2011 - 2030) and start pulling money out of the market instead of putting money in. Again, they are going to change the rules. If their investing started a minor boom, what will their withdrawals do?
  2. Is there some new mechanism (tax law like 401(k) or new invention like online trading) that will encourage more people to invest in the market? Given that our economy is hurting and people are paying more attention to immediate needs than investing I don't know how we are going to squeeze more money out of people to put in the market.

So, why do I think you should invest in the stock market? Here are my reasons:


  1. You want to support baby boomers with money you'll probably never see again (kind of like Social Security)
  2. You live in a warm climate and will not need the cash to burn to keep you warm
  3. Your Investment Advisor's children are getting ready to go through college
  4. You have more money than you know what to do with
  5. You'd rather pay 22% on your credit cards and throw your money down the stock market drain
What should you do instead of invest in the stock market? I'm not going to tell you. Go out and figure it out for yourself. Learning is your best defense against poverty.

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

WW: Income

 Welcome to Word Wednesday. The word of the week is Income.

Income is a very straightforward idea. You have an increase. This is usually measured in dollars. Most people consider their paycheck as their income. There are different types of income. Two main categories of income are Active Income and Passive Income.

Active Income is income that you actively participated in producing. This would be an hourly or salaried job, most business owners, day traders, etc. Active income is any source of income that would stop if you stopped. This is the most common source of income.

Passive Income is income that you do the activity once and get paid continually afterwards. This would include dividend stocks, royalties, rental properties, and systems based businesses. The benefit of passive income over active income is that you can do the work once, be paid for it over a period of time, all the while working on the next passive income. So instead of trading time for money you are trading time for raises.

There is another type of income that is often forgotten, unexpected income. This can be from birthday presents, tax refunds, etc. People usually treat this money completely separate from regular income. They will usually go out and spend it on something they would normally not spend money on. This gets them no further ahead financially, and the high you get from the new purchase quickly wears off. Do not waste the gift of unexpected income.

A large income is the best recipe for happiness I ever heard of. 
Jane Austen 


income

 [in-kuhm]    Origin

in·come

   [in-kuhm]  Show IPA
noun
1.
the monetary payment received for goods or services, orfrom other sources, as rents or investments.
2.
something that comes in as an addition or increase,especially by chance.
3.
Archaic . a coming in.
Origin: 
1250–1300; Middle English:  literally, that which has come in,noun use of incomen  (past participle of incomen  to come in), OldEnglish incuman; see in, come


in·come·less, adjective


1.  interest, salary, wages, annuity, gain, return, earnings. 

1.  outgo, expenditure.